World Dashboard

Labor market state of the union · 2020-Q1 -> 2026-Q1 · BLS + FRED + Indeed Hiring Lab + Atlanta Fed

Quarter2026-Q1(29/29)

Macro · this quarter

labour-market health gauges + capital context

Employment

158.6M

Unemp.

4.3%

LFPR

62.0%

Prime EPOP

80.7%

U-6

8.0%

Job openings

6.88M

S&P 500

6,529

10Y yield

4.30%

Fed funds

3.6%

CPI YoY

2.7%

GDP $B

31,856

Sentiment

55.4

Labor-market tightness · JOLTS rates

6.88M openings vs 7.24M unemployed

Beveridge V/U

0.95

balanced

Job openings rate

4.3%

Quits rate

1.9%

workers cautious

Hires rate

3.3%

Layoffs rate

1.1%

Unemployment lvl

7.24M

Total openings

6.88M

Bev ratio (rates)

0.99

Forward-looking · where's hiring going

recession-risk + composite gauges (no PMI · ISM withdrew)

OECD CLI

100.8

above trend

OECD biz conf

5.1

Phila coincident

147.8

Sentiment

55.4

10Y-2Y

0.51pp

normal

10Y-3M (Fed-watched)

0.60pp

normal

Fin stress

-0.52

below avg

Initial claims

212k/wk

Metro snapshot · tightest → loosest

BLS LAUS unemployment + Indeed postings idx (baseline 100 = Feb 2020)

Raleigh

0.84M employed

3.4%

Atlanta

3.21M employed

3.6%

Austin

1.50M employed

3.7%

Miami

3.17M employed

3.8%

Dallas

4.36M employed

4.2%

Denver

1.67M employed

4.3%

Phoenix

2.59M employed

4.3%

San Francisco Bay Area

2.39M employed

4.3%

Washington DC

3.29M employed

4.3%

Boston

2.68M employed

4.7%

Minneapolis

1.97M employed

4.8%

NYC

9.85M employed

5.0%

Los Angeles

6.37M employed

5.2%

Chicago

4.74M employed

5.3%

Seattle

2.21M employed

5.8%

AI exposure × headcount

Anthropic AEI observed_exposure × BLS OEWS May-2023 employment (152M covered)

mean ≥ 0.10

60.7M

40.0% of US

mean ≥ 0.15

48.4M

31.9% of US

mean ≥ 0.20

19.8M

13.0% of US

mean ≥ 0.25

5.2M

3.4% of US

mean ≥ 0.30

5.2M

3.4% of US

Detailed-SOC weighted: 3.8M workers in detailed SOCs whose individual AEI exposure ≥ 50% — about 2.5% of covered.

Top 8 major groups by mean AEI exposure

Computer and Mathematical Occupations5.2M
38%
Sales and Related Occupations13.4M
24%
Legal Occupations1.2M
22%
Office and Administrative Support Occupations18.5M
19%
Business and Financial Operations Occupations10.1M
18%
Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations2.1M
14%
Educational Instruction and Library Occupations8.7M
13%
Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations1.4M
12%

Unemployment by demographic

headline: 4.3%

race

White

3.7%

Black

7.4%

Hispanic

5.0%

Asian

4.2%

education

< HS (25+)

5.6%

HS grad (25+)

4.7%

Some coll. (25+)

3.6%

BA+ (25+)

2.9%

age

16-19

14.1%

20-24

6.9%

55+

3.3%

Wage growth · YoY

Atl Fed · Overall (3mo)

3.7%

Atl Fed · Overall (12mo)

4.0%

Atl Fed · Switchers

4.4%

Atl Fed · Stayers

3.9%

gap: 0.5pp

By sector (BLS-derived)

Information
5.0%
Financial
4.2%
Manufacturing
4.1%
Trade / transport
4.1%
Construction
4.0%
Tech (computer systems)
3.8%
Professional & biz
3.7%
Total private
3.6%
Leisure & hospitality
3.5%
Education & health
2.7%

Indeed postings · this quarter

baseline = 100 (Feb 2020) · US idx: 103.9

Top sectors

Physicians & Surgeons183.8
Civil Engineering146.9
Pharmacy125.9
Electrical Engineering125.6
Medical Technician124.3
Legal122.5
Education & Instruction119.4
Installation & Maintenance117.9

Top metros

Juneau, AK222.1
Beaver Dam, WI188.7
Cullman, AL181.4
Hilo, HI178.3
Statesboro, GA175.1
Searcy, AR171.3
Dickinson, ND169.9
Albemarle, NC169.0

Top states

ak157.7
sd139.6
wv137.3
mt137.1
nd136.6
al127.5
sc127.2
ms125.7

Top events · this quarter

2140 total

  • AI launchesKimi K2 · Moonshot AI releases Kimi K2, open-weight frontier MoE
  • AI launchesHunter Alpha · Anonymous AI model Hunter Alpha surfaces on OpenRouter with 1 trillion parameters
  • AI launchesGemini 3.1 Pro · Google releases Gemini 3.1 Pro with 2x jump in reasoning capabilities
  • AI launchesGLM-5 · Chinese AI labs release GLM-5 with 745 billion parameters
  • AI launchesGLM-5 · Zhipu AI releases GLM-5, first frontier model trained on Huawei Ascend silicon
  • AI launchesDeepSeek V3.2 · DeepSeek releases V3.2 with 10x context window expansion
  • AI launchesClaude Sonnet 4.6 · Anthropic releases Claude Sonnet 4.6 with near-Opus performance
  • M&AxAI · SpaceX acquires xAI for $250B

260

343

55

55

10

1060

139

56

162

snapshots: metrics 2026-04-30 · capital 2026-04-30 · postings 2026-04-30 · wage_tracker 2026-04-30 · events 2026-04-30